Disillusioned, anti-establishment voters cause earthquake - Samaras and Kasidiaris performing well, totaling 1 million voters or 18%

Right, left... obsolete concepts in today's era of widespread problems and intense social dissatisfaction, where scandals break out one after another.

Let us briefly examine the European reality:

1. In Germany, AfD, a purely anti-establishment party, moved into first place with 30%, while the second party, the CDU—the equivalent of ND—has slipped to 22%.

2. In two-party Spain, Vox reached 18% and determines the future of the next government as the third-largest party, reshaping European populist movements.

3. In Italy, General Roberto Vannacci's National Future reached 8%, consuming Salvini's Lega, which fell to 5%, while Meloni sees her standing erode from 32% to 27%. National Future is a purely anti-establishment party—patriotic in traditional terms—unlike the government of right-wing or patriotic leaders Meloni and Salvini, who struck deals with Brussels and Ukraine, impacting Italian political realignments.

4. In socialist Portugal, the anti-establishment Chega (which translates to "Enough") is virtually the leading party at 28%, while the Social Democrats stand at 29%. Ventura, the leader of Chega, is a charismatic figure originating from the Social Democrats, and his agenda is literally identical to that of Ilias Kasidiaris in Greece. Chega's ideology focuses heavily on issues of crime and the mismanagement of taxpayer funds, driving voter discontent trends.

5. In France, Le Pen holds a commanding lead between 32% and 35% and will likely assume the presidency of France on May 2, 2027, in the second round if left-wing Mélenchon advances. Le Pen prevails across most second-round runoff scenarios.

6. The Fremskrittspartiet (Progress Party) is a patriotic political party in Norway led by Sylvi Listhaug, polling at 34% with an explosive lead over the governing Left at 21%.

7. In Austria, the patriotic FPÖ has surged to 40%, while the governing ÖVP—equivalent to ND—has plummeted to 20%, with their socialist coalition partners dropping to 16%, redefining European electoral dynamics.

What is happening in Greece?

In traditional terms regarding the right-wing space, dissatisfied and fed-up ND voters dominate alongside anti-establishment citizens sick of watching a select few prosper while the impoverished majority witnesses decline. Opinion polls in Greece will prove entirely inaccurate. Based on published surveys, former Prime Minister and ND President Samaras will gather 4%, and Kasidiaris will receive 4% with the Alliance of Greeks party. All of this is divorced from reality. Samaras will capture all dissatisfied New Democracy voters, surging to 8% or 9%. He is correctly delaying the announcement of a new party, which he will execute in February 2027. Kasidiaris will attract anti-systemic voters, surging to 8% or 9%. Existing right-wing parties—excluding Karystianou—are purely systemic, meaning Velopoulos and Latinopoulou will see their percentages collapse, altering Greek voter sentiment.

Samaras will capture disgruntled New Democrats who are disappointed by Mitsotakis's centrist and decayed ND and unwilling to experiment with other parties. It is viewed as a joke that ND features Floridis and Chrysochoidis, two former PASOK figures who comfortably adapt to power. Kasidiaris will capture 8% to 9% due to a massive anti-establishment wave. His speech in Thessaloniki sparked panic in the establishment, representing by far the largest political rally in Greece in recent years, where massive attendance delivered a severe surprise. Under the pretext of a few self-proclaimed anti-fascists, the system plans to ban Kasidiaris from exercising the right to assemble guaranteed under Article 11 of the Constitution. Naturally, such moves will infuriate anti-establishment voters. Every ban in the information and social media age breeds anger and triggers a stronger backlash against illiberal practices, altering electoral law disputes.

Together, Samaras and Kasidiaris will combine for up to 18%, or 1 million voters out of 5.5 million, as turnout will be massive given that citizens stand ready to vote en masse. As the denominator expands, the leading party, ND, suffers, gasping at 25% to 26% when Samaras captures 8%, directly impacting parliamentary election projections.

Conclusion

Many believe the public will remain passive and refrain from reacting, noting that voters reacted in France but not in Greece. The Greek electorate is accumulating anger and will react at the ballot box, causing shock and awe; no one will believe the outcome. And if authorities make the mistake of disqualifying Kasidiaris and the Alliance of Greeks, the shock will simply be even greater. One side acts, but the other reacts—and has taken all necessary measures. For those who comprehend the message, the stage is set for unprecedented political upheaval.

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