As Kasidiaris' percentage grows, the chances of the party being excluded diminish, while the rise in support shakes the foundation of the right-wing political spectrum. Deliberations and strategy analyses inside the Maximos Mansionconcerning Kasidiaris are unprecedented, as he represents the major unknown variable for the political establishment.
Several indicators are revealing
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The two speeches he delivered in Athens and Thessaloniki—especially in Thessaloniki on October 28—achieved unprecedented success with massive public attendance, demonstrating growing political participation.
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Pollsters argue that Symmachia Ellinon is consistently undercounted in opinion polls, primarily because potential voters either refuse to participate in surveys or conceal their true intentions regarding their voting preferences.
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If initial polls capture 4.5% to 5%, the actual percentage is estimated at 8% to 9%, with some analysts already speaking of 10%. Recalling the past scenario of the Spartans party, opinion polls showed them at 2.4%, yet they ultimately secured 4.68% against all survey predictions, as no polling firm captured the momentum.
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Panic is prevailing across the right-wing political spectrum, extending even to Zoe Konstantopoulou. Kyriakos Velopoulos and his party, Greek Solution, are alarmed by the massive wave favoring Kasidiaris. Polls showing Velopoulos at 8% or 6% are disconnected from reality; he is projected to land at 3.5% to 4.5% under the best-case scenario. Afroditi Latinopoulou is projected to remain outside parliament, while Maria Karystianou will face severe pressure and struggle to cross the parliamentary threshold. Antonis Samaras maintains an audience that does not overlap with Kasidiaris voters. Even Konstantopoulou is experiencing pressure, as she previously attracted anti-systemic votes that are now moving en masse toward Kasidiaris.
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The political earthquake shaking the right wing is the result of the broad appeal commanded by Ilias Kasidiaris. In the eyes of significant segments of society, he remained in prison for his ideas, a factor weighing heavily in public consciousness as a perceived political stance.
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Kasidiaris has not yet revealed his primary strategy, which will emerge closer to the elections for obvious tactical reasons. These moves are expected to cause ripples across the political spectrum, with a mix of upcoming surprises that remain unanticipated by political observers, showing that patience serves as proof of electoral strategy.
Conclusion
The major surprise of the elections will be two parties: the percentage of ND and the percentage of Ilias Kasidiaris,marking a significant milestone in Greek national politics.
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