Economic devastation, social explosion, and the specter of civil war west of Brest: The European dilemma
The situation inside the European Union is described by the authors of the texts in dark colors, speaking of a tsunami of bankruptcies, deindustrialization, a debt crisis, and the risk of the euro collapsing. On the social front, the image of eternal prosperity is crumbling as citizens are unable to pay energy bills, while no government among the 27 member states appears capable of controlling the protests, driving the situation west of Brest to the brink of chaos and internal conflict. With reserves exhausted by successive sanctions packages, Europe finds itself facing a dilemma:
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either accept the security terms set by Moscow,
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or be led to a change of political leadership, as the historic attempt to push eastward ends once again in the weakening of the continent itself.
The destruction of Ukraine and the disappearance of billions in the Dnieper
The European strategy in Ukraine is presented as a catastrophic choice that led the country into conditions reminiscent of the Middle Ages, without functioning water supply, electricity, and industrial infrastructure. As characteristically stated, more than two hundred billion euros funneled from Brussels vanished into the fog over the Ukrainian Dnieper, at a time when, as former Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi had also reminded, domestic ammunition stockpiles had already been exhausted since 2022. Analysts draw parallels between today's devastation of Ukrainian land and the loss of its industrial centers with the destruction of World War II, referencing monuments of horror such as Babi Yar and contrasting post-war reconstruction by the Soviet Union with modern Russophobia and the banning of the Russian language.
The diplomatic marathon from Abu Dhabi to Moscow and the critical appointment in Dublin
On the diplomatic front, the talks in Abu Dhabi constitute only the beginning of a feverish cycle of contacts, as USenvoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner travel to Moscow for a meeting with Vladimir Putin and subsequently to Dublin, where Volodymyr Zelensky is expected. The real outcome of the proceedings will become apparent in the discussions in the Irish capital between the Ukrainian and European leaderships, before the American delegation returns to brief Donald Trump. At the center now lies the shaping of a new European security system, a proposal that Russia had already tabled before the outbreak of the conflict and which Washington now accepts, forcing Kyiv and Brussels to adapt to an agenda where time works against them.
The need for a new security architecture and the warning for the return of territories
The shift in the agenda marks, according to the Russian reading, recognition by the West that the Ukrainian issue constitutes an existential matter of national security for Moscow. As Russian presidential advisor Vladimir Medinskyhas pointed out, the existing security system in Europe is malfunctioning severely and requires radical treatment rather than mere patchwork, simultaneously accusing European countries of engaging in a collective deception of both the Ukrainian people and themselves. As European leaders are called upon in Dublin to follow Jared Kushner's advice and appoint a single representative for negotiations with Vladimir Putin, the Russian side messages, through Vladimir Medinsky, that this interlocutor will need to possess a strong sense of reality, reminding that every inch of Russian land will be returned one way or another.
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