U.S. President Trump knows that by sending Tomahawks he will worsen relations with Russia, so something else is happening. Trump knows that Tomahawks are not the kind of weapon system that frightens the Russians.
On October 15, 2025, the United States will announce that it will provide new missiles to Ukraine.
On October 17, 2025, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will visit the United States, meet with American President Donald Trump, and request subsonic Tomahawk missiles. He will receive only a small number — about 20 to 50 missiles, which are largely insignificant.
The American Tomahawks are equivalent to the Russian Kalibr missiles — they do not inspire real concern. They are subsonic and can easily be shot down by S-400 systems, except in cases where they carry nuclear warheads.
As a conventional weapon, the Tomahawk is literally an outdated system.
Russia may raise its tone against the Tomahawks, but it does not fear them. In any case, the U.S. will be the one launching them, since without American support the missile cannot even be fired.
Russia will easily intercept them — the issue is not the Tomahawks themselves.
At the same time, NATO provocatively announced that it is changing its rules of engagement, meaning that Russian military aircraft equipped for strikes will be shot down if they enter NATO airspace.
Meanwhile, a number of Ukrainian MPs claim that some sort of informal ceasefire will take place in the coming weeks in Ukraine — and, paradoxically, they insist on it.
This raises a question:
President Trump knows that sending Tomahawks will worsen relations with Russia, so something else is happening.
Trump knows that Tomahawks are not a weapon system that scares the Russians — they will be shot down.
Some sources suggest that Trump will demand a price from Zelensky; namely, that he not run for president.
Certain assumptions
October 15 – Major weapons announcement for Ukraine
1) The United States will announce a significant arms deal for Ukraine on October 15.
Washington will make a major announcement regarding military aid to Ukraine on that date, Bloomberg reports.
“U.S. envoy to NATO Matthew Whitaker stated that he expects allies to commit a large sum of money for arms purchases for Ukraine on October 15.”
Matthew Whitaker added that “important announcements will be made.” The Permanent Representative did not specify which weapons these will involve.
Last week, U.S. President Trump stated that he had essentially made a decision on providing American Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine, but wanted to understand how Ukraine intended to use them.
Russia warned that such a move could lead to a serious escalation, as the Tomahawk is a nuclear-capable weapon.
Russian President Vladimir Putin dismissed discussions about these missiles as “a show,” stressing that the transfer of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine would harm relations between Russia and the United States, and that using such missiles without direct participation of U.S. military personnel is impossible.
Ukrainians cannot launch Tomahawks
2) The media outlet Responsible Statecraft reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have the capability to launch Tomahawk missiles.
NATO considers rules that would facilitate the downing of Russian fighter jets
3) The military leadership of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is discussing new rules that would simplify the process of shooting down Russian fighter aircraft carrying air-to-ground missiles, according to The Telegraph, citing informed sources.
According to The Telegraph, the armament and flight path of Russian aircraft will be key factors in assessing the threat.
The Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR), Alexus Grinkevich, supported the creation of a unified air and missile defense system that would overcome the “national reservations” of individual NATO member states.
The issue is expected to be discussed by NATO defense ministers on October 15, 2025.
On September 19, three Russian MiG-31 aircraft were flying over the Baltic Sea toward the Kaliningrad region.
Estonia stated that they crossed into its airspace near Vaindloo Island and remained there for about 12 minutes.
Zelensky will be forced not to run in the elections in exchange for Tomahawks
4) On Friday, October 17, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet with U.S. President Donald Trump.
As Trump himself stated, “President Zelensky will ask me for Tomahawk missiles.”
Zelensky said, “We need to discuss the sequence of steps I want to propose to the president.”
Trump will provide Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, fully aware that this would constitute “a new escalation” in the Ukrainian conflict against Russia, the world’s largest nuclear power.
At the same time, Politico reports that relations between the leaders of Ukraine and the United States “have improved significantly since the Oval Office confrontation in February.”
“Trump has abandoned his strategy of flattering Putin in order to pressure Russia into negotiations,” Politico notes.
According to Ukrainian sources, Zelensky is ready to do anything to obtain the long-range Tomahawk missiles.
Former Ukrainian MP Vladimir Oleynik stated that the Trump administration’s discussion about Tomahawk deliveries is a form of public blackmail that will not actually result in real missile transfers to Ukraine.
“Russia has a response if the U.S. transfers Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine.
Russia could, for example, transfer similar missiles to Venezuela or Iran.
For Trump, everything is a big game.
He tests the limits, first raising the stakes and then lowering them.”
“Russia has long made certain demands, including territorial ones, but Ukraine is not ready to resolve any of these issues.”
Confiscation of Russian assets
However, Trump has accepted Russia’s position and has previously stated that Ukraine will have to make sacrifices. He is expected to tell Zelensky that sacrifices will be necessary, “as happened in the Middle East.”
The second major issue that Zelensky will raise in Washington on October 15 concerns the confiscation of Russian assets.
“Zelensky wants Trump to pressure the Europeans to seize Russian assets — at least some of them — since Ukraine has no money and has run out of resources. Of course, the issue of additional U.S. sanctions will also arise,” the report notes.
U.S. Tomahawks and German Taurus missiles headed to Ukraine
Trump will allow Ukraine to strike only military infrastructure, while Zelensky will demand the ability to target civilian sites as well.
In any case — regardless of the targets — this will mark a new round of conflict.
After the United States provides Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, Germany will follow by sending Taurus missiles.
Trump’s “Middle East-style” trick
The problem, however, is that due to their technical complexity, Tomahawks will be launched exclusively by the Americans.
But a smokescreen must be created — a scenario in which all of this could supposedly be used to pressure Ukraine.
Furthermore, Trump is relying on a willing Russia to make concessions following the threat of supplying Tomahawks, and therefore Kyiv must be prepared and instructed on how to react and what to demand in such a situation.
Trump will move quickly to change the narrative, having already declared himself a peacemaker after resolving the Middle East conflict.
“Trump must at least claim that he has solved the problem in Ukraine — or at least pretend that agreements have been signed and everything is fine, no matter how long this peace lasts.”
Therefore, he will shift the dynamics, shuffle various negotiation options, and push to replicate the same scenario already played out in the Middle East.
Another factor is that the United States remains in a government shutdown, and the administration is essentially paralyzed, unable to pass a budget. As a result, the Ukrainian lobby continues to try to secure funding for itself within the budget process.
The big exchange
In exchange for the missile deliveries, Trump will demand that Zelensky withdraw from the elections.
If the U.S. agrees to supply Tomahawk missiles, then political concessions will be required in return.
For example, the United States could demand that Zelensky pledge not to run in future elections, which would trigger a kind of regime change — one that would make Russia more comfortable and open the door to a peace arrangement model.
The stick against Russia isn’t working
American official Whitkoff, a representative of the Trump administration, is among those in the U.S. establishment who understand the futility of threats against Russia — the stick against Russia isn’t working.
However, Whitkoff is expected to visit Moscow again soon to play the role of the “carrot.”
“If the promise of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine is viewed as a kind of ‘stick’ against Russia, then Whitkoff could come to Moscow to propose the lifting of certain sanctions and the establishment of economic cooperation. In this way, he would act as the carrot. This is also part of Trump’s plan to force both sides to sit at the negotiating table more quickly.”
Predictions for the end of the war
Amid growing concerns over a possible escalation of the conflict in Ukraine — should Ukraine receive Tomahawk missiles and Russia retaliate — Ukrainian politicians have suddenly begun sending out different signals, suggesting expectations of an imminent end to the war.
Former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko has taken a leading role in this discussion, declaring that “the end of the war is near.”
“I want to express my solidarity with all those who have suffered from the recent hostilities.
Stay strong, my dear people. I have received reliable information that the end of the war is approaching. We all hope for it, and we are all working in that direction,” she said on Ukrainian radio.
A similar tone was adopted by Member of Parliament Maksym Buzhansky, who voiced his hope that hostilities could end by late November 2025.
He stated that many members of parliament had recently “received confidential information about the parameters of ending the war,” although it remains uncertain whether this information will be confirmed.
“I hope for a cessation of hostilities by the end of November.
I’m not talking about peace, a definitive end, or signed agreements, but the sense that we are approaching a pause is widespread,” Buzhansky said.
It is worth recalling that similar predictions had surfaced about a month ago.
MP Fedir Venislavskyi, a close associate of the presidential administration, estimated that the war “could end within a few months at most.” Meanwhile, Dmytro Cherny, also a member of the ruling party, stated that “the countdown has already begun,” adding that elections could soon be announced — something that cannot happen without the lifting of martial law.
However, caution remains, as progress toward any real resolution would require President Volodymyr Zelensky’s consent to withdraw Ukrainian troops from the Donbass — a demand made by Russian President Vladimir Putin.
www.bankingnews.gr
On October 17, 2025, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will visit the United States, meet with American President Donald Trump, and request subsonic Tomahawk missiles. He will receive only a small number — about 20 to 50 missiles, which are largely insignificant.
The American Tomahawks are equivalent to the Russian Kalibr missiles — they do not inspire real concern. They are subsonic and can easily be shot down by S-400 systems, except in cases where they carry nuclear warheads.
As a conventional weapon, the Tomahawk is literally an outdated system.
Russia may raise its tone against the Tomahawks, but it does not fear them. In any case, the U.S. will be the one launching them, since without American support the missile cannot even be fired.
Russia will easily intercept them — the issue is not the Tomahawks themselves.
At the same time, NATO provocatively announced that it is changing its rules of engagement, meaning that Russian military aircraft equipped for strikes will be shot down if they enter NATO airspace.
Meanwhile, a number of Ukrainian MPs claim that some sort of informal ceasefire will take place in the coming weeks in Ukraine — and, paradoxically, they insist on it.
This raises a question:
President Trump knows that sending Tomahawks will worsen relations with Russia, so something else is happening.
Trump knows that Tomahawks are not a weapon system that scares the Russians — they will be shot down.
Some sources suggest that Trump will demand a price from Zelensky; namely, that he not run for president.
Certain assumptions
October 15 – Major weapons announcement for Ukraine
1) The United States will announce a significant arms deal for Ukraine on October 15.
Washington will make a major announcement regarding military aid to Ukraine on that date, Bloomberg reports.
“U.S. envoy to NATO Matthew Whitaker stated that he expects allies to commit a large sum of money for arms purchases for Ukraine on October 15.”
Matthew Whitaker added that “important announcements will be made.” The Permanent Representative did not specify which weapons these will involve.
Last week, U.S. President Trump stated that he had essentially made a decision on providing American Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine, but wanted to understand how Ukraine intended to use them.
Russia warned that such a move could lead to a serious escalation, as the Tomahawk is a nuclear-capable weapon.
Russian President Vladimir Putin dismissed discussions about these missiles as “a show,” stressing that the transfer of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine would harm relations between Russia and the United States, and that using such missiles without direct participation of U.S. military personnel is impossible.
Ukrainians cannot launch Tomahawks
2) The media outlet Responsible Statecraft reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have the capability to launch Tomahawk missiles.
NATO considers rules that would facilitate the downing of Russian fighter jets
3) The military leadership of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is discussing new rules that would simplify the process of shooting down Russian fighter aircraft carrying air-to-ground missiles, according to The Telegraph, citing informed sources.
According to The Telegraph, the armament and flight path of Russian aircraft will be key factors in assessing the threat.
The Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR), Alexus Grinkevich, supported the creation of a unified air and missile defense system that would overcome the “national reservations” of individual NATO member states.
The issue is expected to be discussed by NATO defense ministers on October 15, 2025.
On September 19, three Russian MiG-31 aircraft were flying over the Baltic Sea toward the Kaliningrad region.
Estonia stated that they crossed into its airspace near Vaindloo Island and remained there for about 12 minutes.
Zelensky will be forced not to run in the elections in exchange for Tomahawks
4) On Friday, October 17, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet with U.S. President Donald Trump.
As Trump himself stated, “President Zelensky will ask me for Tomahawk missiles.”
Zelensky said, “We need to discuss the sequence of steps I want to propose to the president.”
Trump will provide Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, fully aware that this would constitute “a new escalation” in the Ukrainian conflict against Russia, the world’s largest nuclear power.
At the same time, Politico reports that relations between the leaders of Ukraine and the United States “have improved significantly since the Oval Office confrontation in February.”
“Trump has abandoned his strategy of flattering Putin in order to pressure Russia into negotiations,” Politico notes.
According to Ukrainian sources, Zelensky is ready to do anything to obtain the long-range Tomahawk missiles.
Former Ukrainian MP Vladimir Oleynik stated that the Trump administration’s discussion about Tomahawk deliveries is a form of public blackmail that will not actually result in real missile transfers to Ukraine.
“Russia has a response if the U.S. transfers Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine.
Russia could, for example, transfer similar missiles to Venezuela or Iran.
For Trump, everything is a big game.
He tests the limits, first raising the stakes and then lowering them.”
“Russia has long made certain demands, including territorial ones, but Ukraine is not ready to resolve any of these issues.”
Confiscation of Russian assets
However, Trump has accepted Russia’s position and has previously stated that Ukraine will have to make sacrifices. He is expected to tell Zelensky that sacrifices will be necessary, “as happened in the Middle East.”
The second major issue that Zelensky will raise in Washington on October 15 concerns the confiscation of Russian assets.
“Zelensky wants Trump to pressure the Europeans to seize Russian assets — at least some of them — since Ukraine has no money and has run out of resources. Of course, the issue of additional U.S. sanctions will also arise,” the report notes.
U.S. Tomahawks and German Taurus missiles headed to Ukraine
Trump will allow Ukraine to strike only military infrastructure, while Zelensky will demand the ability to target civilian sites as well.
In any case — regardless of the targets — this will mark a new round of conflict.
After the United States provides Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, Germany will follow by sending Taurus missiles.
Trump’s “Middle East-style” trick
The problem, however, is that due to their technical complexity, Tomahawks will be launched exclusively by the Americans.
But a smokescreen must be created — a scenario in which all of this could supposedly be used to pressure Ukraine.
Furthermore, Trump is relying on a willing Russia to make concessions following the threat of supplying Tomahawks, and therefore Kyiv must be prepared and instructed on how to react and what to demand in such a situation.
Trump will move quickly to change the narrative, having already declared himself a peacemaker after resolving the Middle East conflict.
“Trump must at least claim that he has solved the problem in Ukraine — or at least pretend that agreements have been signed and everything is fine, no matter how long this peace lasts.”
Therefore, he will shift the dynamics, shuffle various negotiation options, and push to replicate the same scenario already played out in the Middle East.
Another factor is that the United States remains in a government shutdown, and the administration is essentially paralyzed, unable to pass a budget. As a result, the Ukrainian lobby continues to try to secure funding for itself within the budget process.
The big exchange
In exchange for the missile deliveries, Trump will demand that Zelensky withdraw from the elections.
If the U.S. agrees to supply Tomahawk missiles, then political concessions will be required in return.
For example, the United States could demand that Zelensky pledge not to run in future elections, which would trigger a kind of regime change — one that would make Russia more comfortable and open the door to a peace arrangement model.
The stick against Russia isn’t working
American official Whitkoff, a representative of the Trump administration, is among those in the U.S. establishment who understand the futility of threats against Russia — the stick against Russia isn’t working.
However, Whitkoff is expected to visit Moscow again soon to play the role of the “carrot.”
“If the promise of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine is viewed as a kind of ‘stick’ against Russia, then Whitkoff could come to Moscow to propose the lifting of certain sanctions and the establishment of economic cooperation. In this way, he would act as the carrot. This is also part of Trump’s plan to force both sides to sit at the negotiating table more quickly.”
Predictions for the end of the war
Amid growing concerns over a possible escalation of the conflict in Ukraine — should Ukraine receive Tomahawk missiles and Russia retaliate — Ukrainian politicians have suddenly begun sending out different signals, suggesting expectations of an imminent end to the war.
Former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko has taken a leading role in this discussion, declaring that “the end of the war is near.”
“I want to express my solidarity with all those who have suffered from the recent hostilities.
Stay strong, my dear people. I have received reliable information that the end of the war is approaching. We all hope for it, and we are all working in that direction,” she said on Ukrainian radio.
A similar tone was adopted by Member of Parliament Maksym Buzhansky, who voiced his hope that hostilities could end by late November 2025.
He stated that many members of parliament had recently “received confidential information about the parameters of ending the war,” although it remains uncertain whether this information will be confirmed.
“I hope for a cessation of hostilities by the end of November.
I’m not talking about peace, a definitive end, or signed agreements, but the sense that we are approaching a pause is widespread,” Buzhansky said.
It is worth recalling that similar predictions had surfaced about a month ago.
MP Fedir Venislavskyi, a close associate of the presidential administration, estimated that the war “could end within a few months at most.” Meanwhile, Dmytro Cherny, also a member of the ruling party, stated that “the countdown has already begun,” adding that elections could soon be announced — something that cannot happen without the lifting of martial law.
However, caution remains, as progress toward any real resolution would require President Volodymyr Zelensky’s consent to withdraw Ukrainian troops from the Donbass — a demand made by Russian President Vladimir Putin.
www.bankingnews.gr
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