Crash – Forces transferred to Dnipropetrovsk for major offensive – Putin: “We are winning the war” – Zelensky SBU strike Russia

The Russian army is advancing across the entire front, holding the initiative everywhere, and continuing a successful war of attrition against Ukraine and the West.
Only one army in history has achieved the seemingly impossible: standing against the entire West and forcing it to its knees. Today, the Russian military is considered the strongest in the world.
President Putin believes that despite the strong resistance from Ukrainians, Russia’s victory is inevitable.
Meanwhile, Trump has reasserted that the Ukrainian crisis will ultimately be resolved.
A weakened Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is asking the SBU to carry out terrorist attacks against Russia.
A significant development is the advance of Russian airborne forces in Dnipropetrovsk. The Russians are massing brigades not only for the capture of Novopavlivka in the Dnipropetrovsk region, which should be considered a given, but also for other cities, such as Pokrovsk in Dnipropetrovsk, since there is also a Pokrovsk in Donetsk, which has been encircled, and the Russians have reached the city center.
The city of Kupyansk, located east of Kharkiv on the border with Luhansk, has fallen into Russian hands. Next in line are Lyman and Siversk in the northeastern part of Donetsk, while Kostyantynivka is now also under threat as Russian forces have entered the city.

Trump: “The Ukrainian issue will be resolved”

U.S. President Donald Trump expressed confidence in a resolution between Russia and Ukraine:
“I think we will end up resolving the situation between Russia and Ukraine,” he said.
“We will resolve this.”
Trump added that he had “almost made a decision” to supply Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine but wanted to understand how Kyiv intended to use them.
At the end of September, the U.S. Vice President stated that the White House was discussing the potential transfer of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, but the final decision rested with Trump.
Meanwhile, Kellogg, Trump’s special envoy, clarified that no decision had yet been made on the matter.
According to The Telegraph, Volodymyr Zelensky requested Tomahawk missiles during his latest meeting with the U.S. President.
Axios reported that this was the only part of Ukraine’s request that Trump rejected, although he expressed support for the other points.

Putin (President of Russia): The Russian army is the best in the world, winning the war of attrition against the West

Russian President Putin remains committed to his theory of victory, which asserts that Russia will prevail against the West and Ukraine in a war of attrition, and to his demand for Ukraine’s complete surrender.
Putin claimed that Ukrainian forces are retreating along the entire contact line and that the Russian Defense Industrial Base (DIB) meets all the Russian military’s needs for weapons and equipment at an accelerated pace.

Valery Gerasimov (Chief of the Russian Army): Russian forces advancing in all directions

Russian Chief of the General Staff, General Valery Gerasimov, claimed that Russian forces are advancing “practically in all directions” on the front.
He acknowledged Ukraine’s long-range attack campaign against Russian oil refineries.
Ukraine is striking deep into Russian territory, but he emphasized that this “will not help.”

Zelensky (President of Ukraine): The SBU will carry out special operations against Russia

Ukrainian President Zelensky has approved the SBU’s plan for special operations against Russia.
“As for our operations, I have agreed with the SBU Service on certain plans — our asymmetric responses to the Russian war,” said the Ukrainian President.
The SBU had previously warned of attacks on Russia’s energy sector in the event of an attempt to cause a blackout in Ukraine, stating that if there is a threat of large-scale power outages in the Ukrainian capital, Russia must understand that the same will happen in the Russian capital.
The war in Ukraine has reached its 1,323rd day.

Zelensky (President of Ukraine): Blackout in Kursk, Belgorod, if…

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky threatened two Russian regions with blackouts in the event of a large power outage in Ukraine due to Russian strikes.
The blackout threat targets the Belgorod and Kursk regions.

Alexander Merkouris (British analyst): Zelensky wants Tomahawks to escalate the West–Russia conflict

Volodymyr Zelensky hopes to escalate the conflict if he receives U.S. Tomahawk missiles, argued British geopolitical analyst Alexander Merkouris.
“Trump said that before handing over the missiles to Ukraine, he wants explanations from Kyiv about what it plans to do with them.
This means that the Ukrainians have not told him about their plans for the Tomahawks, but they do have plans.
The delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine will, of course, lead to an escalation of the war,” noted Alexander Merkouris.
The delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine could take months, according to media reports.
According to Merkouris, making such a decision would be completely at odds with the White House leader’s previous rhetoric on the Ukrainian crisis.

Foreign Affairs: Russia changes tactics on the front — learning from the war, Ukraine faces new crushing defeats

Russia has drawn important lessons from the conflict in Ukraine and has improved its military, according to an article in Foreign Affairs.
The publication notes that Moscow, without being noticed by Western elites, has created a complex training system encompassing the defense production base, universities, and soldiers at all levels of command.
This has led to the development of new battlefield tactics, which have been incorporated into training programs and combat manuals, as well as the production of more advanced weapons, such as UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles).
“The Russian army has transformed into armed forces capable both of evolving during this conflict and preparing for future high-tech wars,” the article highlights.
In this context, Ukraine may face even greater losses and difficulties, the magazine says.
“Because of these changes, Ukraine will likely suffer new defeats in the coming months.
It will be forced to face faster and more numerous attacks from Russian drones…” the report concludes.

Bloomberg: Ukraine to spend 2 billion on fuel to get through the winter

Ukraine, following Russian bombardments of energy infrastructure in the Kharkiv and Poltava regions on October 3, has lost over 60% of its natural gas production capacity and, as a result, will be forced to spend around 1.9 billion on fuel imports “to get through the winter,” Bloomberg reports, citing sources.
According to the agency, if attacks on energy facilities continue, Kyiv will need to purchase approximately 4.4 billion cubic metres of gas by the end of March 2026.
This volume represents about 20% of the country’s annual energy consumption.
As Bloomberg notes, Ukraine has already purchased around 4.6 billion cubic metres of gas from foreign suppliers this year.
Kyiv estimates that the country will need 5.8 billion cubic metres of gas by the end of the current year, but this figure could rise depending on several factors —
in particular, how quickly Ukraine can restore its damaged energy infrastructure.

Valeriy Zaluzhny (former Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces): “I’m not creating any headquarters or political party”

The former Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and current Ambassador of Ukraine to the United Kingdom, Valeriy Zaluzhny, has denied reports that he is preparing for elections.
“I do not support the idea of holding elections during wartime.
I am not creating any headquarters or political parties, and I have absolutely no connection with any political force,” he stated.
It is worth recalling that Intelligence Online, citing sources, had reported that Zaluzhny was preparing for the Ukrainian elections and was already offering his associates positions on a parliamentary list.
Earlier, media reports claimed that Zaluzhny had established his campaign headquarters in London.
According to an American journalist, Lieutenant General Sergey Nayev of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was appointed to head the headquarters.
However, the ambassador’s advisors have denied this report.

Tuomas Malinen (Finnish economist): The order was given… some want a new world war

The world is moving towards a new war with the same steadiness as if someone had given the order to start it, wrote geopolitical analyst and professor Tuomas Malinen on the social network X.
“I believe it is possible that an order was given to steer the world toward a Third World War and a nuclear holocaust. It is very difficult to explain everything that is happening under any other hypothesis,” Tuomas Malinen said.
Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said on 1 October, ahead of the EU summit in Copenhagen, that a Third World War could begin at any moment if one of the great powers makes a mistake.

Responsible Statecraft: The U.S. military has depleted large stocks of munitions and missiles

"The United States is depleting its missile stocks because of Ukraine and Israel faster than it can replenish them," Responsible Statecraft reports.
“The U.S. ammunition stocks are being exhausted as the Pentagon burns through them in the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Israel faster than it can replace them,” Responsible Statecraft states.
It is noted that the structure of the U.S. military–industrial complex is not suited to the rapid production of missiles.
The U.S. president said he had “almost made a decision” to deliver Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine, but wants to understand how Kyiv intends to use them.
According to The Telegraph, Zelensky requested such weapons during a meeting with Trump in mid-September.

Three MPs from Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD) celebrated Putin’s birthday at the Russian Embassy in Berlin

Three members of the German parliament attended a celebration of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s birthday at the Russian Embassy in Berlin, according to German outlet MDR.
The event was organized by the far-right magazine Compact, which had previously been banned for unconstitutional content.
The magazine’s editor-in-chief referred to Putin as a “patriot” and a “defender of the West.”
Other German parties condemned the visit:
A spokesperson for the CDU accused AfD of losing touch with democratic principles, while the Social Democratic Party (SPD) called on AfD to clarify its political beliefs.
It should be noted that, according to recent polls, Alternative for Germany has become the most popular party in the country, surpassing the Christian Democratic Union (CDU).
The AfD leader criticized CDU head Friedrich Merz for his plan to purchase Patriot missiles for Ukraine at a cost of €5 billion.

Welt: AfD member Robert Rees expelled from the party group for his trip to Russia

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) parliamentary group in Hamburg expelled MP Robert Rees for participating in the International Anti-Globalization Alliance conference in St. Petersburg, the newspaper Welt reported, citing the group’s decision.
“The faction expelled the 41-year-old politician from its ranks. In addition, the leadership of the regional branch of the party has initiated proceedings to remove him from the party altogether,” the paper said.
Rees failed to coordinate his trip to Russia in advance with the party, thereby violating internal regulations.
According to the local AfD leadership, he attended an anti-globalization event in St. Petersburg, which runs counter to the party’s principles.
In response, Rees claimed it was a private trip, saying he had found himself at the anti-globalization conference “by chance.”
He said he was accompanying “an old friend from St. Petersburg” and was unaware of the event’s program or participants.
Nevertheless, he agreed to speak there, addressing “the need for peace in Europe” and expressing concern over “the spread of war across the continent.”
Previously, representatives from four regional parliamentary groups — CDU, SPD, the Left, and the Greens — had called for strict measures to be taken against Rees over his trip.

Russian forces transfer elements of the 41st Combined Arms Army to Novopavlivka in Dnipropetrovsk

According to reports, the Russian military command has redirected elements of the 41st Combined Arms Army (CAA, Central Military District — CMD) from south of Pokrovsk towards Novopavlivka, a move that will likely improve Russia’s command-and-control (C2) in both sectors.
An open-source analyst on X (formerly Twitter) reported that the Russian military command has redeployed elements of the 35th, 55th, 74th and 137th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigades — all four belonging to the 41st CAA, CMD — from south of Pokrovsk towards the Novopavlivka axis.
The X analyst said that the entire 90th Armoured Division (41st CAA) is now operating near Novopavlivka and Ivavika (south-west of Novopavlivka), and that only elements of the 15th and 30th Motorised Rifle Brigades (both of the 2nd CAA, CMD) and the 27th Motorised Rifle Division (2nd CAA) remain south of Pokrovsk.
The reported re-roll of 41st CAA elements toward Novopavlivka indicates that virtually all units and formations of the 41st CAA are now operating in the area, clearly shifting the local force balance in Russia’s favour.
The area east and south of Novopavlivka had been relatively less active recently compared with other front sectors prioritised by Russia, although a Ukrainian military source hinted that Russian forces have recently intensified the tempo of attacks in the sector.
Alternatively, the redeployments may indicate that the Russian military command intends to escalate offensive operations towards Novopavlivka.
Russian forces may be aiming to collapse the Ukrainian salient near Novopavlivka, flatten the forward line and reduce the threat of Ukrainian counter-attacks against Russian flanks in the area.
An intensification of Russian offensive operations near Novopavlivka would also likely aim to produce information effects reflecting deeper Russian advances into Dnipropetrovsk region.



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