Pollsters and analysts now agree that New Democracy has lost touch with the broader segments of society. A clear sign was that its birthday event was held in a small venue typically reserved for minor youth gatherings. ND's birthday came and went, attended mostly by well-connected party stalwarts, a few youth members, and the usual array of MPs, ministers, and political aides at the old tram depot. During national elections, however, major productive sectors vote—such as farmers, among whom ND is losing ground daily.
Furthermore, ND's presence among younger voters is virtually unnoticeable, while middle-class households express deep dissatisfaction over real income erosion caused by relentless inflation pressures. The harsh warning from Greenberg regarding rating agencies and broader society. All these issues will become even more pronounced and difficult for the public as 2027 approaches. Recently, American political advisor Stanley Greenberg, according to a top source, offered direct counsel to Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis: do not rely on credit rating agencies like Moody's and Fitch that praise the Greek economy, simply because those macroeconomic figures do not reflect the reality in everyday citizens' pockets, and no voter will choose ND based on sovereign credit ratings.
Essentially, he advised them to stop broadcasting economic success stories while a growing number of households struggle to make ends meet, urging the Maximos Mansion to refocus on harsh daily struggles. The government must address the grievances of alienated groups from both the political Center and Right to close those expanding political fronts.
Surveys show ND falling below 25% in voting intention
However, political reality shows—and recent polling confirms—a silent current among moderate voters determined to send a clear message to ND through a protest vote, at least in the initial electoral contest. Based on these dynamics, many analysts believe ND will struggle to match its European election performance of 28%. Current voting intention polls place the ruling party at 25-26%, while a separate private survey commissioned by a prominent political figure shows ND dropping below the 25% threshold. In a period when all of Europe struggles with the energy crisis, rising inflation, and social unrest—such as youth protests in France or snap elections in Spain—who can guarantee that ND can regain the trust of discontented voters after eight years in power? It appears increasingly improbable.
The only path for Mitsotakis to remain in power is a coalition with PASOK
The question is simple: What will Mitsotakis do with this percentage, and with whom will ND form a coalition government? With PASOK? PASOK would need to secure over 10% and would demand strict conditions to enter a coalition government with ND. What about Samaras' party? Former Prime Minister Antonis Samaras would demand that Kyriakos Mitsotakis not serve as prime minister as a prerequisite for joining any administration. Due to intense political rivalry, Mitsotakis, seeking political survival, would only agree to partner with PASOK, whereas Samaras would simply reject such terms. A coalition government remains the primary scenario. There is no alternative on the immediate horizon. Under this framework, it serves the interest of New Democracy and Mitsotakis personally for PASOK to achieve a strong result, ensuring that the combined total of ND and PASOK provides a sufficient parliamentary majority to form a workable coalition administration.
Maximilianos
www.bankingnews.gr
Readers’ Comments