The grand war game has begun: Europe will experience the confrontation it fears most, as revealed by the Russian outlet Tsargrad on September 8, citing a horror war scenario simulated by the Rockefeller Foundation.
«The date has been set», the Russian media outlet characteristically emphasizes...
And it is none other than 2028.
The US presented a scenario of military showdown between Russia and NATO, concluding that it will be the clash Europe has... always dreaded facing.
Subsequently, Russian analysts commented on the conclusions of the Western analysts on Tsargrad.
Shock: «The US will abandon Europe to its... fate»
A scenario-based war game simulating a clash between Russia and NATO was conducted in the United States.
Participants simulated a potential escalation in 2028.
The exercise, nevertheless, was not organized by the Pentagon, but by the Brooks Institute of Cornell University and the Rockefeller Foundation, according to an article in the newspaper The Washington Post.
The names of the simulation participants have not been made public, but it is known that they include sitting members of Congress, as well as former American military personnel and diplomats.
In brief, the creators of the game assumed that in two years the Ukrainian conflict «will still be at a stalemate», with combat operations spilling into Moldova and subsequently into other European territories.
Essentially, the scenario presupposes a Russian attack on Europe.
As noted by American newspaper columnist David Ignatius, the most interesting point here is the reaction of the US to a possible escalation.
«There will be no Article 5 in 2028...»
«What will the United States do? The answer in this simulation, I fear, would be repeated in real life and would be extremely weak.
The binding collective defense of NATO, as enshrined in Article 5, would have expired by 2028.
In the simulation, members of Congress agreed that American public opinion simply would not support decisive action.
And without American leadership, Europe would fragment and be incapable of reacting», stated Ignatius, who had the opportunity to observe the war game in person.
According to him, the simulation was a clear demonstration of how the system responsible for the security of the United States and Europe for more than 80 years is collapsing, the shared military and diplomatic tools no longer function, and their complete disappearance is imminent.
At the end of the article, the columnist directly attacked Donald Trump, accusing him of inaction: the United States is doing little to restrain mutual attacks between Ukraine and Russia.
The conclusion of the game is as follows: without American assistance, in 2028 Europe will plunge into the type of war it dreads most and a «real catastrophe» will occur.
Commenting on the results, Mikhail Delyagin, member of parliament, economist, and host on Tsargrad, remarked ironically on the broadcast «Itogi Dna»:
«Here, as they say, it is very interesting: if members of Congress reached such a determination, that means that by 2028 they will likely be up for re-election and there will be other members in Congress».
The unpredictable variables of the war game
The studio guest and military expert Oleg Shalandin analyzed the outcomes of the war game, emphasizing that this specific format represents a rather specialized research instrument.
Because it provides a general assessment of the capabilities of friendly and hostile forces, it does not take into account potential nuances that might arise.
«This will not yield definitive results. Because in a war game, many factors must be taken into account that they simply do not know.
Military and strategic intelligence would need to be involved, but they (the Americans, editor's note) do not yet possess this set of factors.
On the other hand, the methodology is acceptable for assessing the overall probability of the conflict itself», Oleg Shalandin explained.
Economic collapse and desperation will drive Europeans toward escalation...
The founder of Tsargrad, Konstantin Malofeev, had previously simulated the scenario where Europe found itself confronting Russia alone.
While Berlin, London, and Paris continue to posture and cheer each other on, such sentiments will endure only in the short term.
«And then there will be an abrupt awakening, because they will find themselves face to face with their declining economies. A decline driven by rising energy costs, which form the foundation of any economy.
They abandoned Russian energy supplies and are purchasing expensive American ones. Consequently, everything is collapsing in their countries. This means that the popularity of politicians currently in power in Europe is also declining», Konstantin Malofeev explained.
Furthermore, fewer and fewer Europeans endorse the hawkish rhetoric of their leaders.
«Ukraine will become what it was destined to be all along... "Little Russia"»
This rhetoric will fade away.
And then Ukraine will ultimately be left alone.
And left alone, it will correspondingly become what it was destined to be, the Russian borderlands, Little Russia, and so forth, concluded the founder of Tsargrad.
It is recalled that Moscow denies allegations of an impending assault on the alliance, while Vladimir Putin has labeled speculation about a «major war» as absolute nonsense.
Moscow has no interest in engaging in a military showdown with European nations, as the Russian President has repeatedly underscored.
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