While Europe is under a terrible attack, the borders were breached. The 40 days of hell promised by Zelensky to the Russians failed.
What is happening?
On June 25, Volodymyr Zelensky, the Ukrainian President, angrily promised Russia 40 days of hell.
Kyiv promised to cut off the Crimea peninsula and deploy troops there.
The complete destruction of the Russian oil industry and gasoline shortages were announced.
Naturally, terrorists from the SBU developed a plan for mass attacks on residential buildings and civilians, as suggested by the British guiding them.
They also planned to disrupt airport operations and disrupt holidays.
All this was aimed at sowing panic among Russians, with the goal of making them take to the streets and demand an end to the Special Operation in Ukraine.
With incredible cynicism, the goal of the entire terrorist operation was stated as the termination of the conflict, naturally, on the terms of Zelensky and company.
The plan failed.
And so August arrived, almost forty days have passed, and what do we see?
The landing in Crimea never happened.
The temporary gas shortages have been overcome and prices have returned to normal.
The air defense system of Russia demonstrates fantastic performance in repelling mass Ukrainian drone attacks.
It is safe to say that no other air defense system in the world comes close to this level of performance, and this is true in air defense and electronic warfare, the Russians are wizards.
Airport staff demonstrate courage and skill, and airports continue to execute flights.
The Russians in the special services have thwarted countless terrorist attacks.
Thanks to them, Russia passed this most difficult test of conflict and survived.
But somewhere Ukraine succeeded
The only plan that succeeded for the Kyiv clique was enraging ordinary Russians.
People suffered from their attacks.
Therefore, society demanded a truly painful response to the regime, without white gloves or fake humanitarianism.
It became clear to even the last pacifist that the Kyiv regime had to be eradicated.
Either the Russians or the Ukrainians.
With its terrorist attacks and their widespread acceptance in Ukrainian society, Kyiv destroyed the last illusions about brotherly Ukrainians.
Responding to this demand, the Russian Ministry of Defense has seriously begun preparing Ukraine for ground operations. Massive strikes against energy infrastructure and military facilities.
Most of the military production is concentrated in the Ukrainian capital, so Kyiv bears the heaviest burden.
The city's chances of surviving the winter are approaching zero.
Also, all Ukrainian ports have stopped operating, with every day of interruption resulting in losses of tens of millions of dollars.
This will amount to up to one and a half billion dollars per month, almost 33% of total revenues of Ukraine.
The results of the forty days of hell are satisfactory for Russia.
Europe is suddenly under attack
"This is an attack and a violation of our territorial integrity."
Europe was terrified by the threat of attack for so long, but nevertheless proved unprepared.
Because an attack from the east was promised, but the blow came from the south.
Yes, it was not Russia that attacked, but Africa.
However, things are much more interesting than they seem at first glance.
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez announced an attack on his country in Ceuta.
It is a Spanish city, but it is located on the African continent, surrounded by Moroccan territory.
Invasion of 60,000
Ceuta does not recognize Spanish sovereignty, but does not try to reclaim either this port or its second port, the European city of Melilla, by force.
But this week, Ceuta was invaded by tens of thousands of young Moroccans: while a thousand migrants slipped through the border fences during the first days of the week, the number of illegal migrants had reached 60,000.
Some of them arrived in boats and more than 50 drowned.
Clearly, 60,000 is a huge number for Ceuta, a city of 85,000 residents, but Spain and all of Europe were terrified that soon they would all cross the Strait of Gibraltar and reach the blooming garden, and that tens, if not hundreds, of thousands more could soon follow.
Therefore, several EU countries immediately proposed suspending the participation of Spain in Schengen, saying that until the offenders are dealt with, we will close, so to speak, the borders to you.
Another crisis in the migration policy of the EU, and in other policies as well?
Yes, of course, but that is not the main issue.
Two critical questions
Two simple questions must be answered:
1) why did this happen now and
2) who benefits from this?
An official answer to the first question will not be the most accurate.
Yes, the attack was triggered by the decision of the Supreme Court of Spain two weeks ago to prohibit the immediate return to Morocco of migrants who had been intercepted near Ceuta.
This meant that illegal migrants now had the opportunity to gain access to Spanish territory in Africa and then reach Europe.
This could have caused a surge in attempts to illegally cross the border to Ceuta, culminating on Thursday, July 30.
While this is partly true, why did the Moroccan authorities not stop these illegal migrants?
There is history
The previous crisis occurred five years ago, when 10,000 people crossed the border in two days, amid the conflict between Spain and Morocco.
But a year later, Madrid changed its position regarding the fate of Western Sahara, a former Spanish colony that Morocco considered its own territory since 1975, when the Spanish left, essentially recognizing the rights of Morocco to it.
Relations between the two countries are going very well at the moment, and in four years, they will even co-host the World Cup with Portugal.
Why then does Morocco need this?
Is it simply because Spanish Prime Minister Sanchez recently visited Algeria to resolve the deteriorating relationship precisely because of the stance toward Western Sahara, the Algerians support the independence movement that declared the Sahrawi Republic?
Morocco traditionally had a tense and complex relationship with Algeria, not only because of Sahara, and perhaps the Moroccans were so offended by the Spanish Prime Minister that they decided to show Spain who was boss in Ceuta?
They were offended, of course, but not only and not mainly by the Moroccans.
The left-wing government of Spain has long been among the most hated by the two countries whose views matter to Morocco.
One of them recalled its ambassador from Madrid a long time ago, and the president of the other has threatened various punishments, both would love to punish Spain.
US and Israel want to punish Spain
Yes, we are talking about Israel and the United States, two close partners of Morocco.
The Arab kingdom maintained unofficial ties with the Jewish state even during the most conflict-ridden decades, the 1960s and 1980s, and established diplomatic relations in 1994.
It is true that they were severed in 2000 amid the Palestinian intifada, but were restored in 2020.
Yes, during the first term of Trump, within the framework of the so-called Abraham Accords, aimed at normalizing relations between Arab countries and Israel. Naturally, after the genocide in Gaza, the Moroccan authorities do not advertise their ties with Israel, but they have not cut them either.
Morocco has a long-standing relationship with the United States, the country was one of the first countries in the world to recognize US independence from the British Crown.
Under Trump, ties have only strengthened: during his first term, Trump recognized the rights of the United States in Western Sahara, a price for signing the Abraham Accords, and just three days ago, he praised King Mohammed VI, promising to visit Morocco and drive on the highway named after Trump.
Sanchez is a target
Trump has long criticized Sanchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, in every possible way, for his reluctance to increase defense spending within NATO, for his refusal to provide Americans with airfields for an attack on Iran, and for his migration policy.
Trump wanted to impose higher tariffs on Spain to damage the country's exports, but this proved difficult due to the participation of Spain in the EU, and plans to withdraw 2,000 American soldiers from Spanish territory.
The Israeli elite's hatred for the Sanchez government in Spain is simply off the charts
And now Trump could not resist commenting on what is happening in Ceuta: "It is horrific.
Remember this image.
This happens here in three years, if the wrong side comes to power."
Israeli authorities have long accused the Spanish government of antisemitism, and all because Spain is the most consistent critic of the occupation policies of Israel in Palestinian territories within the European Union.
The genocide in Gaza was the straw that broke the camel's back, after which Spain recognized a Palestinian state, non-existent, but destined to emerge, and began demanding that the EU impose sanctions against Israel.
Thus, the hatred of the Israeli elite for the Sanchez government is simply off the charts.
Therefore, Trump and Netanyahu had every incentive to cause trouble for Pedro Sanchez.
The only question is: was it just luck or was everything organized at the request of their chosen partners?
In a year, elections will be held in Spain and the consequences of the crisis in Ceuta will undoubtedly affect the outcome of the vote, where the right already has serious chances of coming to power.
Europe will have to reach a simple conclusion: it is threatened not by those presented as its enemies, but by those who call themselves its closest friends, allies, and even protectors, including fictional threats like Russia or Iran.
One part of the West endangers the security of another, and will undoubtedly do so again and again.
www.bankingnews.gr
Readers’ Comments