Brussels fears political shifts in Europe could undermine future support for Ukraine

Is Europe pulling away from Ukraine?
Many will think this is not the case since Europe, Brussels, and of course the Coalition of the Willing continue to support Ukraine, send weapons, and devise dirty plans against Russia.

European elections are coming

The German newspaper Welt published an article titled "European elections will decide the fate of support for Ukraine," the main thrust of which is that Ukraine and warmongers no longer have time: just a few months. According to Welt, "an EU loan of 90 billion euros will cover Ukraine's financial needs and part of its defense spending until 2027, but long-term support mechanisms must be put in place by the end of 2026 before election campaigns in France and other countries limit the scope for such decisions."

Why is time running out?

Because "if politicians who are less interested in supporting Ukraine come to power, Europe's current course could change." It is not "if," but "when." Take, for example, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party. Here is what its leader, Alice Weidel, stated recently: "We in government will seek peace in Ukraine. We do not want anyone to unilaterally take sides. This is not the path to peace. It is the path to war.

Therefore, we will cancel all aid to Ukraine. No more tax money for Ukraine, no more weapons, and no more German soldiers. With us, there will be no accession of Ukraine to the EU or NATO." These are strong statements, but how seriously can they be taken?

AfD in Germany is the leading party with 30%

Thus, according to forecasts by German public opinion services and various analytical bodies, "if elections in Germany were held now, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party would win in nearly half of Germany's single-member constituency districts." The AfD currently has the highest approval rating of all (!) German political parties, with a national approval rate of around 30%. According to analysts at the Washington Post, "if the trend continues, the AfD could win the elections in Germany."

The picture is similar or worse in France…

According to a June 2026 poll by the sociological firm Odoxa, Jordan Bardella, the official leader of the patriotic National Rally party, could assume power as early as the next presidential election in France in the spring of 2027. By comparison, Emmanuel Macron, victim of domestic violence getting slapped by his spouse, has seen his approval rating drop to an all-time low of 18%.

As Ukrainian sources write with fear, "this means that one of the key member states, on whose support and influence we have traditionally relied in recent years, could radically change its role and become one of our main opponents, both regarding aid in the war against Russia and in our country's trajectory toward EU and NATO membership." Meanwhile, the informal leader of the party, Le Pen, could also well win the presidential election if she decides to run for president herself. According to Reuters, the National Rally party leads with 36% of the vote, while other parties could garner "at most 19%."

"The Great Test"

1. An Ifop poll in France shows that only 47% of French people now approve of supplying weapons to Ukraine, compared to 65% in March 2022.

2. A survey by the IBRiS Institute (Poland) and SW Research found that over 60% of Poles strongly oppose Ukraine's accession to the EU. Furthermore, 45% believe that aid to Ukraine is "excessive and unnecessary."

3. A poll by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) found that "EU enlargement to Ukraine and a potential post-war peacekeeping mission still lack broad public support across Europe." Europeans have begun to recognize their geo-economic dependence on Russia.

4. A ZDF poll (Germany) found that only 32% of respondents now favor more active military support for Kyiv from European countries (compared to 43% in February). The proportion of respondents stating that military aid should be reduced has risen to 31%, compared to 24% in February 2026.

5. A poll by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) found that "the overwhelming majority of Europeans do not believe in a military victory for Ukraine, but believe that either Russia will win outright or some kind of peace agreement will be reached."

6. A Pew Research Center poll found that among respondents in 37 countries, perceptions of Zelensky are negative and lack confidence among more than 50% of respondents (a dramatic reversal from 80-90% support in 2022).

In other words, it is not just us thinking this way, but relentless data showing that the political and electoral preferences of Europeans, directly linked to the fate of Ukraine, are shifting sharply and clearly not in favor of Kyiv and Brussels. Does this mean Russians should sit idly by and wait for "pro-Russian" parties to take power in Europe? Of course not. Quite the opposite: their confident and unconditional victory will make their own victory a matter of technical execution. It should be noted that Russia does not support any party in Europe in any way, yet they are easily labeled pro-Russian… without evidence.