The Iranians are not joking. They warning the American military that if it attempts an invasion of Iranian islands or territory, they will launch a military attack on Kuwait and Bahrain.
In fact, they sent an ultimatum to the Americans. If the attacks do not stop within 2-3 days, the targets will also expand to other countries. Meaning NATO member states.
Iran is not joking.
"If the United States attacks Iran from land, it is likely that Iran will also attack Kuwait and Bahrain from land."
The Iranian politician Ahmad Bakhshish Ardestani stated: "Trump acted in parallel against the clauses of the agreement, especially regarding the fifth clause, according to which Iranian regulations must govern the Strait of Hormuz.
Trump created a corridor for Oman so that ships can pass through that side, and this led to tension."
Referring to the efforts of Arab countries to negotiate and agree on an increase in oil prices, Ahmad Bakhshish Ardestani added:
"When the price of oil reaches 110 dollars, then the Bab al Mandab strait will also close."
Is there an alternative to the Strait of Hormuz?
Ahmad Bakhshish Ardestani emphasized, of course, the answer is yes.
The countries located around the strait are paying attention to alternatives.
For example, the United Arab Emirates want to bypass the Strait of Hormuz by constructing new ports, but they cannot because Iranian missiles completely surround them.
Referring to the US threats regarding the seizure of Kharg Island, Ahmad Bakhshish Ardestani added: "Maybe they can occupy it for a day, but they cannot remain because the range of Iranian missiles from Semnan, Zahedan, Isfahan etc. reaches there.
Therefore, the seizure of Kharg Island would be cannon fodder for Iran, so it will not do it unless it is very foolish to launch a ground attack there."
Iran ultimatum: End of defense, goal is full offense and total destruction, new targets will be selected if US aggression continues
Iran will change tactics if the American raids do not stop in the coming days, Mohsen Rezaei, military advisor to the Supreme Leader of Iran, stated on state television.
He said that the Iranian military will shift from defensive to offensive action.
Mohsen Rezaei stressed that if the American attacks continue within two to three days, Iran will move into a phase of "offensive and total destruction."
The attacks will target not only American bases within the conflict zone but also beyond it.
This statement raises the stakes in the confrontation and could constitute a turning point in the conflict.
The White House has not yet responded to the ultimatum.
Donald Trump three options for Iran from a ground assault on Kharg to infrastructure warfare
Trump, the American President, every time he falls silent on an issue and does not speak much, has a serious and practical plan for it and wants to take serious action.
What does Trump want to do?
Does he really want to enter into a ground war?
Does he intend to attack Kharg?
Does he want to enter into an infrastructure war, or as he calls it, "bridges and power stations", or does he perhaps want to return to a state of full war and involve Israel in the war?
What is Trump plan though?
The Wall Street Journal recently claimed in an article that Trump and his military and security team held a meeting and discussed Iran.
In this meeting, Trump examined three options, probabilities, and plans for advancing the war in the coming days.
These three probabilities and plans are the following:
A. Seizure of Kharg Island
B. Bombing of Mount Kuh-e Kalang or Kalang Ghazla
C. Attack on Iranian infrastructure
Each of these options may lead the American military into a deadlock.
The most important of these problems are the following:
A. Seizure of Kharg Island
There are various scenarios for an attack on Kharg Island.
A likely scenario is a "coordinated and multi-layered" entry of the American naval fleet into Kharg.
According to this plan, the US would have to launch an attack in several steps:
1) Several destroyers will enter the Persian Gulf around the American aircraft carriers.
2) Destroyers will have to be stationed near the island.
3) Creation of a defensive layer and establishment of missile superiority.
4) The arrival of the Abraham Lincoln and Bush aircraft carrier groups, along with the Boxer, with a full escort, in the Persian Gulf.
But this plan will face several problems.
First, this model does not comply with US Navy standards and is usually considered a high-risk plan and rejected.
Second, this plan could cost the US a huge amount of lives and money.
Iran, with its naval mines, saturation missile and drone attacks, its missiles and artillery, could inflict terrible casualties on the US.
If American forces are stationed in Kharg, this cost will multiply and the Americans will be forced to retreat quickly and abandon the island.
B. Bombing of Mount Kalang
Mount Kalang is located in the central part of the Zagros mountain range and within the boundaries of the Isfahan province.
Kalang (Kuh-e Kalang or Kalang Ghazla) is an extremely classified and deeply underground nuclear complex of Iran.
It is located in the Zagros mountain range of the Isfahan province, approximately 1.6 kilometers south of the central Natanz uranium enrichment facility
But an attack on this area would also create many problems for Trump.
The most important problems are the following:
1) The specific geographical location of Mount Kalang and the inability to identify it due to the dense Zagros mountain range of the Isfahan province.
2) Forcing American fighter jets to reduce their altitude to find the desired area, putting the fighter jets at risk of becoming targets for the Iranian defense.
3) Failure to achieve the strategic goals of America, given the publication of certain reports stating that Iran does not conduct its main nuclear activity under this mountain.
C. Attack on infrastructure
This issue could also create problems for Trump.
The most important problems in this regard are the following:
A. The strong reaction and attack of Iran on the infrastructure of countries in the region, including Kuwait and Bahrain etc.
B. The strong reaction of Iran and the total attack on American and Israeli bases and American ships in the region.
C. The closure of the Bab al Mandab strait as a response to this action.
D. The hardening of the positions of Iranian politicians and the loss of the possibility of any understanding or agreement with America.
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