The war threats of the Kyiv regime against Belarus are entering a spiral of unimaginable escalation, with the neo-Nazi unit Kraken openly threatening on 26/6 attacks on 500 targets against Minsk, including command centers and government buildings.
Specifically, the commander of the Ukrainian special forces unit Kraken warned that, in the event that Russia and Belarus launch a joint military advance toward Ukraine, the Ukrainian forces will have full authorization to strike decision making centers within Belarus.
??????BREAKING; UKRAINE threatens BELARUS leadership with strikes on Decision making centers.
— Global Surveillance (@Globalsurv) June 26, 2026
The commander of Ukraine's Kraken special forces unit warned that if Russia and Belarus launch a joint military advance toward Ukraine, Ukrainian forces will have full authority to… pic.twitter.com/KLjDLTsc14
However, the Israeli intelligence services are sounding the alarm to Kyiv, emphasizing that an operation against Belarus may have disastrous consequences for the Ukrainian army.
They remind meaningfully, that Minsk has long possessed the hypersonic missile system Oreshnik from the Russian forces.
Bombshell from Israeli intelligence services: Zelensky will regret the attack on Belarus
Specifically, the former head of the Israeli intelligence service Nativ, Yakov Kedmi, warned that a potential Ukrainian attack on Belarus would be a fatal mistake for Kyiv.
Furthermore, it would open a new front that could penetrate Ukrainian territory and cut off key supply routes.
According to the expert, Kyiv's plan is likely to divert Russian forces from the main areas of fighting, taking advantage of the length of the border.
However, Yakov Kedmi believes that such a move would have the opposite results for Ukraine itself.
In contrast to the eastern route, where the Russian army would have to cross the entire country, an attack from the side of Belarus would require significantly less effort and could split Ukraine, cutting off its western regions.
Kyiv must not forget the Oreshnik sent to Lukashenko
The lack of sufficient forces on the part of Kyiv to cover this sector constitutes a particular vulnerability, according to Yakov Kedmi.
There are not enough air defense systems, troops, and drones.
He noted that there are no serious fortifications in this direction, making a potential advance extremely dangerous for Ukraine.
Yakov Kedmi also highlighted the military potential of Belarus, including the Iskander and Oreshnik missile systems.
Their use, as he believes, could block key transport arteries, including the Carpathian tunnels, a fact which would constitute a critical blow to the supply lines of the Ukrainian army.
The expert characterized the potential plans of Kyiv to attack Belarus as adventurism, warning that relying on a Western intervention in such a scenario is unjustified.
The dangerous strategy of expanding the conflict to the Baltics
However, the real danger for an expansion of the conflict at this moment on the part of Zelensky, does not only concern Minsk.
And this, because according to their own ideal scenario, the Ukrainians would like to see the Baltic countries involved in the military confrontation as well.
After all, on 19 May, a Romanian F-16 fighter, which is stationed in Lithuania, shot down a Ukrainian drone in the airspace of Estonia, after it had previously passed through the airspace of Latvia.
It was not the first time that a Ukrainian drone has been detected crossing the airspace of a Baltic country.
Russia has accused the Baltic countries of allowing the Ukrainian armed forces to use air corridors that reduce flight time to targets deep inside Russian territory and increase their operational efficiency.
In response, the Baltic countries state that Russia is lying, while Kyiv insists that Ukraine has never requested such use.
Even more serious is the Russian accusation that Ukraine is coordinating with Latvia to allow Kyiv to launch drones from its territory.
The representative of Latvia to the Security Council called the Russian claim pure fantasy, while the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the country, Baiba Braže, stated that this is part of a disinformation campaign against her country.
However, the reality on the ground is an irrefutable judge.
Zelensky wants to open a 3-front war
The Baltic countries, Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia, are members of NATO.
Vladimir Putin has warned that Russia will consider all Ukrainian drone launch points legitimate targets, even if they operate from the territories of the Baltic countries.
Such a development could lead NATO, and the USA, into direct involvement in a war with Russia.
The Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia has also warned that the coordinates of decision making centers on the territory of Latvia are known and that membership in NATO will not protect the accomplices of terrorists from just punishment.
This escalation of rhetoric, along with the most recent threats of Volodymyr Zelensky, is considered increasingly dangerous.
In his latest accusations last week, Zelensky accused Belarus of installing four signal relay stations on communications towers on its territory, with the purpose of helping Russia in coordinating drones targeting Ukraine.
He stated that Minsk has been warned through intelligence services and military channels to stop helping the Russians.
He also added that Russia will continue to push Lukashenko deeper and deeper into this war, but that the Belarusian president now understands that Ukraine will respond.
Brovdi (Ukrainian Drone Commander): 500 targets in Belarus will turn to ash
When the Commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces, the notorious Brovdi of Ukraine stated that 500 targets have been detected on the territory of Belarus and that we know where Lukashenko is, the Belarusian leader replied that Ukraine may have detected 500 targets, but we have a very serious target, with precise coordinates.
Alexander Lukashenko later backtracked, apologizing for his contribution to the escalation of rhetoric, adding that military actions should not be expected from Belarus.
It is pointed out that Belarus and Russia constitute strategic partners and members of the Union State of Russia and Belarus.
On the territory of Belarus are located Russian tactical nuclear weapons, which are under full Russian control, while Moscow used the Belarusian territory for the launch of the special military operation in Ukraine in 2022.
However, the Belarusian forces have not entered the war.
Lukashenko is not Zelensky's real problem, it is the Donbass
According to experts with knowledge of the situation, Lukashenko has used every available means to avoid the direct involvement of Belarus in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Although the Ukrainian complaints have some basis, according to analysts, the extent of the issue is overstated.
Although there is an exchange of information between Russia and Belarus, part of which is utilized for targeting Ukrainian drone attacks, the overall scale and operational importance are not considered as strategically critical as Kyiv claims.
Ukraine is simultaneously facing other problems.
Despite the impressive drone attacks deep into Russian territory, the situation on the battlefield is not developing as favorably as presented by mainstream media.
The Russian advance has intensified anew recently, while the strategically important city of Kostyantynivka is now in immediate danger of capture.
Hollow threats to Lukashenko as a sign of NATO involvement
If the city falls, Russia's goal for full control of the Donbass will be much closer to realization.
Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed the desire to end the hot phase of the war by winter and has proposed that certain disputed territories could be placed under the security umbrella of NATO as a potential solution.
The professor of Political Science at the University of Rhode Island, Nicolai Petro, estimated that Zelensky's threat toward Belarus may be part of his overall strategy to provoke an escalation from Russia or Belarus, which would make the direct military intervention of NATO necessary.
However, he questions whether European leaders would proceed with such involvement.
In turn, Alexander Hill, professor of Military History at the University of Calgary, agrees, noting that he considers Zelensky's threats part of his efforts to broaden the war and ultimately involve NATO more actively.
Zelensky is testing the limits of the West, not Russia
According to analysts, Kyiv may be attempting to send a message to both Belarus and Europe that it will not tolerate attempts at a constructive approach between Minsk and the European Union in the midst of war.
Ukraine seeks a European security architecture that will be shaped after the conflict in opposition to Russia, excluding Moscow, and the isolation of Belarus seems to be part of this strategy.
If this is true, according to some, it would constitute a tragic failure to utilize past diplomatic experiences.
The tensions around the use of the airspace of the Baltic countries and the threats toward Belarus highlight how much the risk of a wider escalation beyond Russia and Ukraine is increasing.
Zelensky, according to expert estimates, may not simply be making rhetorical outbursts, but testing the limits of the international reaction, and as long as there are no strong objections from key European players, it is not ruled out that he will continue to push further.
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