Address of destruction: Trump brands defeat as victory, abandons Hormuz and invasion... but not the dismantling of Iran

The Trump address was a collection of heterodox and erratic analyses of a distorted reality. Trump branded defeat as victory, abandoning the ground invasion but not the goal of dismantling Iran, and warned that without a deal, Iran will return to the Stone Age within two to three weeks.

The Trump address hodgepodge

Anticipation for the Trump address to the American people was high on all sides. Some were preparing for the announcement of the start of a ground operation by the US President. Others hoped he would announce victory and the completion of Operation Epic Fury. But both pessimists and optimists were wrong. The latter, of course, to a slightly lesser extent—Trump spoke extensively about victories, but this had nothing to do with the completion of the operation.

A message sugarcoating defeat

At first glance, it was a rather ordinary speech by the US President, in which he said almost nothing new. "I have nothing to tell you, so I am forced to address you"—this is how one could summarize the essence of his message. And he is truly forced to turn to the authorities. The situation in America is worsening—just a few days ago, multi-million protests in favor of the No Kings movement swept the country, approval ratings are reaching historic lows, and fuel prices are rising along with discontent.

According to Trump, Iran was defeated... but the Americans will continue to bomb it

Iran, according to Trump, has been defeated; its navy, air force, and radars have been destroyed, the IRGC leadership has been decimated, and Iran can forget about nuclear weapons—even though it wanted to create the most terrible weapons the world had ever seen! The Americans did not want to overthrow the regime, but they did, and that is a good thing: the current government is much better than the previous ones. However, the US will continue to bomb Iran because they used terrorist tactics to block the Strait of Hormuz. And the Americans will do it very hard—decimation was not enough. The Americans must send Iran back to the Stone Age in the next two or three weeks. And if the "deal" does not pass, things will get even worse—Iran will lose both its oil and its electricity.

Now he doesn't care about Hormuz... and reveals the US doesn't need to be in the Persian Gulf

However, Trump also pointed out several important points. The US President emphasized that America does not use the Strait of Hormuz for oil transport. Therefore, it is up to the countries for which it plays a much more important role to unblock it. "We are completely independent of the Middle East. And yet we are there to help. We don't need to be there. We don't need their oil. We don't need anything they have. But we are there to help our allies," Trump stressed.

...I did it for the Allies

This is not an attempt to provoke righteous anger and remind Americans that they started this whole mess—that wouldn't do much good. The point is that Trump positions this war started by America as a war "for American allies," who, meanwhile, are hesitant to support the United States. And because they are unwilling to help liberate the Strait of Hormuz, Washington will not stand alone, but will gladly provide its own fuel reserves. Of course, not for free. Another important point is the US government's stance toward fuel price and stock market fluctuations. "Shipping through Hormuz will resume and gas prices will drop quickly. Stock prices will rise quickly. Frankly, they haven't dropped much. Not much, but the last two days have been very good. In fact, we've done much better than I thought," Trump noted.

Trump believes what he says

And here, it is not so much how the image he describes deviates from reality. What is much more important is Trump's conviction that this is exactly the case: America is succeeding in the war for its allies without any help, the problems caused by this conflict are temporary and, moreover, represent a lucrative opportunity to profit from it all. In American terms, the phrase "we are ready to fight forever" defines reality. But Trump—and America as a whole—does not have that eternity.

Analyzing the Trump address: proof that the US failed completely in Iran

The Trump address is proof of the failure of the main objectives of the war against Iran, which has exceeded one month...

1. He shot many arrows and none hit the mark. But he was too flawed or too shameless to accept failure, so instead, he immediately drew a line around where the arrows hit and said: "That was the goal from the beginning and I achieved it."

2. This is more or less the story of the Trump speech... Along with the various and naturally repetitive claims Trump made, the most important thing that happened was not an update on the "status" but an update on the "stated goals," so that after the war ends in the coming days, Trump can essentially claim victory.

3. The United States had previously announced various goals for conducting war against Iran: A) Change of the political system in Iran, B) The presence of a governing body or political system imposed by the United States in Iran, C) The end of the defensive capability of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and D) The end of Iran's nuclear capability. Of course, the real goals of the United States and Israel went even further than that, and that was the dismantling of Iran, so that Iran could never block American arrogance in the region and the world.

4. After the war began, removing the Strait of Hormuz from Iranian control through military force became the most important American goal to prevent the destruction of their prestige in the world.

5. But what did Trump actually say: A) Changing the political system in Iran was never one of their war goals. B) The change of the political system in Iran has indeed happened!! C) America has no responsibility for the Strait of Hormuz, so whoever wants oil from the Strait of Hormuz must either buy it from America or go and open the Strait of Hormuz themselves!

6. Trump also announced that he had achieved his goals of destroying Iran's nuclear and defensive capabilities and that he had completely destroyed Iran's navy and air force!

But:

First: If Iran's naval power has been destroyed, how can America still complain about the Strait of Hormuz not being open? Second: If Iran's missile power has been destroyed, who launched the heaviest missile attack on Israel on April 1, 2026? Third: Didn't the same America say it had destroyed Iran's entire nuclear power in the 12-day war of 2025, so this time it is clearly lying? In fact, it's lying even more! Fourth: One of the most important points of Trump's speech was actually his public declaration of inability to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and for this reason, he essentially deleted this goal as one of his own and admitted a major failure. Fifth: Talking about the political system in Iran having changed now makes even... a cooked chicken laugh. Only Trump... could replace Khamenei with Khamenei and claim the system has changed!

What did Trump prove?

• Explicit statement of failure to achieve the main goals of the war against Iran that lasted more than a month.

• With propaganda achievements and setting the stage for declaring an imaginary victory in the next two or three weeks or even sooner (eliminating defensive and nuclear capabilities and changing the regime!).

• Explicit statement of inability to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as a major indicator in the war.

• Attempt to respond to very sharp public criticism in the United States by comparing himself to former American warmongers (If I am savage, my predecessors were just as savage or even more!).

The Zionist lobby holds Trump captive... with the Epstein scandal

The Zionist lobby still holds the Epstein scandal hostage, forcing Trump to continue the war, claiming there are still many targets within Iran that must be hit. Consequently, the US Secretary of War and Secretary of State announce that the military operation will continue for another 2 to 3 weeks, in contrast to the 4 to 6-week timeline announced in the first days of the war.

Are all scenarios finally on the table?

Experts, taking into account the military movements of the US Army in the Middle East, report the possibility of a ground operation by the country against significant islands in the Persian Gulf, such as Qeshm, Lark, Kish, Abu Musa, Greater Tunb, Kharg, and others. At the same time, others believe that increasing the number of US ground forces to 70,000 may be part of the US Army's plan to conduct special operations inside Iran and access 60% enriched uranium stockpiles within the country! The key question is whether the Trump administration truly seeks to end the war in Iran or merely seeks to control the MAGA movement and energy markets and continue the war on the battlefield by following a policy of "talk therapy"?

Time is not money

After the official announcement of US Operation "Epic Fury" against Iran, Trump announced a 4 to 6-week plan to strike Iran's nuclear program and the pillars of power, especially the missile industry. Today, 34 days into the war, American officials speak of the appearance of the "war's finish line," while among their statements, the desire to continue the war for at least another 14 to 21 days beyond the original timeline is evident.

Negotiations with question marks

Experts believe that one of the options proposed today to the US President is the seizure of Kharg island and using it as a lever of pressure to open the Strait of Hormuz! At the same time, some other analysts believe the US plan is much broader and intends to permanently eliminate part of Iran's access to international waters by occupying southern Iran's coasts. Beyond the battlefield, in the trenches of diplomacy, Iran and the United States are engaged in a serious, fascinating, and sensitive discussion about ending the war or continuing it. The Americans mention two weeks before negotiations with Iranian officials and achieving certain initial agreements, while these statements are made simply for deception... and their specific purpose is to reduce energy prices in the short term. On the other hand, Iranian officials, while confirming the exchange of direct and indirect messages with the American side, rejected any direct negotiations and considered them a result of the illusions of American officials. Under these circumstances, what matters are the facts on the ground. Tehran has officially announced it is ready to end the war based on its five conditions, but in practice, the Americans have given Israel the right to continue attacks... Sooner or later, the war in Iran, like all other American adventures in the Middle East, will end. Although Trump came to power with the slogan "end the endless wars" and attracted the attention of the anti-war movement, he ultimately succumbed to the Israeli lobby and the demands of American arms companies and entered the battlefield without considering the long-term interests of the American government and people.

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